Risk prediction models for oral frailty in older adults: a scoping review - Report - DentalSpire

Risk prediction models for oral frailty in older adults: a scoping review

  • By

  • Yongjun Chen

  • Huixian Tang

  • Bo Li

  • Liping Yuan

  • July 10, 2026

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Clinical Report: Models for Predicting Oral Frailty in Elderly Populations

Overview

This scoping review systematically maps existing oral frailty risk prediction models for older adults, highlighting variability in model development and validation.

Background

Oral frailty is an age-related decline in oral function linked to systemic health issues and adverse outcomes in older adults. Identifying individuals at high risk for oral frailty is important for intervention and management. However, current prediction models vary significantly in methodologies and applicability.

Data Highlights

No numerical data available.

Key Findings

  • Seventeen studies were included, primarily cross-sectional and concentrated in China.
  • The reported proportion of oral frailty ranged from 25.50% to 92.50%.
  • Logistic regression was commonly used for model development, with nomograms for final predictions.
  • Frequently retained predictors included age, nutrition-related factors, and swallowing difficulties.
  • Only two studies provided external validation, while 15 reported some form of internal validation.
  • The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranged from 0.725 to 0.985.

Clinical Implications

Healthcare professionals should be aware of the limitations of existing oral frailty prediction models, particularly regarding validation and generalizability.

Conclusion

Existing models demonstrate varying degrees of predictive performance, but their clinical application is limited by methodological concerns and a lack of external validation.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Prediction models for sarcopenia in older adults in China: a scoping review
  2. Drugs - Real World Outcomes, 2021 -- Links Between Anticholinergic Drug Use and Negative Health Effects in Frail Older Adults: A Comprehensive Review and Meta-Analysis
  3. BMC Medicine, 2026 -- Comparing geriatric assessment tools for predicting negative health outcomes in older adults
  4. Journal of Medical Internet Research (JMIR), 2026 -- Effectiveness of Digital Health Interventions in Older Adults With Frailty and Sarcopenia: Systematic Review and Meta‐Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials
  5. Consensus statement on “Oral frailty” from the Japan Geriatrics Society, the Japanese Society of Gerodontology, and the Japanese Association on Sarcopenia and Frailty - PMC
  6. Frontiers, 2024 -- Prevalence and unfavourable outcome of oral frailty in older adult: a systematic review and meta-analysis
  7. Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for oral frailty in elderly patients with chronic heart failure
  8. Consensus statement on “Oral frailty” from the Japan Geriatrics Society, the Japanese Society of Gerodontology, and the Japanese Association on Sarcopenia and Frailty - PMC
  9. Frontiers | Prevalence and unfavourable outcome of oral frailty in older adult: a systematic review and meta-analysis
  10. Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for oral frailty in elderly patients with chronic heart failure

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