Beyond the dose-volume histogram: a critical appraisal of normal tissue complication probability modelling for osteoradionecrosis of the jaw and a strategic framework for clinical translation - Takeaways - DentalSpire

Evaluating Normal Tissue Complication Probability Models for Osteoradionecrosis of the Jaw: A Comprehensive Review and Framework for Clinical Application Beyond Dose-Volume Histograms

  • By

  • Jaymit Patel

  • July 10, 2026

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  • 1

    Head and neck cancer has a global burden of approximately 880,000 new cases annually, with radiotherapy used in about 75% of treatments.

  • 2

    Osteoradionecrosis (ORN) occurs in 7-10% of patients and is characterized by severe complications affecting quality of life.

  • 3

    The NTCP model developed by van Dijk et al. identified D30% and pre-RT dental extraction as key predictors of ORN.

  • 4

    The WAFT model introduced a time-to-event framework, showing that each additional Gray of radiation shortens the time to ORN onset.

  • 5

    Methodological limitations in existing NTCP models include insufficient cohort diversity and inadequate characterization of RT protocols.

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